The upfront cost argument gets overstated - what actually matters more is how long you plan to stay in your house and whether your setup even supports tankless without renovation. I looked into this when my tank started acting up a few years back, and the contractor said my gas line was undersized, so I'd need to run new piping just to make a tankless system work properly. That alone would've added thousands to the project, which completely killed the payback period for a family that might move in five to seven years. I ended up going with a standard tank and honestly don't regret it - the repair costs are predictable and I got another decade out of the system. If your home's already got adequate gas supply and you're planning to stay put for a while, sure, look at tankless. But if you're uncertain about either of those, a tank replacement is the simpler math.