The tricky part is whether you want to smooth out the ups and downs or just survive the lean months - because they're pretty different strategies. Using your average is solid, but the real pitfall people miss is not keeping a separate buffer account for taxes. When income swings wildly, it's super easy to spend that extra money from a good month and then realize come tax time you owe a chunk you didn't set aside. I'd suggest separating your money into three buckets: one for regular bills based on your conservative average, one specifically for taxes (usually around 25 - 30% of income depending on your situation), and then a true buffer fund that absorbs the month-to-month swings. That way a slow month doesn't panic you, and a great month doesn't trick you into lifestyle creep that leaves you short later.