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I'm also often trying to save money when I need specific things before a certain date, and honestly Amazon is kind of a mess because prices keep fluctuating all the time. There's no fixed day when everything goes on sale - it depends on the category and the seller. What I've noticed is that if you check the price history with sites like CamelCamelCamel or Keepa, you can figure out if the price is actually good or if it's been lower before. Sometimes what looks like a deal is just the normal price dressed up as a discount.

As for actual summer sales, Amazon usually does scattered promotions during July and maybe concentrated toward the end of July or early August, but it's not regular like Black Friday would be. If you need something by August, I'd say check the price right now using one of those tracking sites, add the item to your wish list, and then check every couple of days. A lot of sellers do random discounts, especially if they've got overstocked inventory before the new month.

Something that's helped me is also looking at the reviews and comments where people often write whether the price is fair or if it's been lower. Oh, another thing: some items cost less if you buy them through Amazon Fresh or through specific Prime customer promotions, so check that too. Basically there's no perfect formula - it takes some patience and checking multiple times, but that's how you avoid getting burned.

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