Sounds like you've got a few good leads already, but I'd say the pitcher itself is your most likely culprit here. The gasket and seating issues are worth checking first since they're quick, but hairline cracks in the blending vessel are sneaky - you might not see them right away because they're often on the bottom or sides where the plastic gets stressed from constant heat and pressure. Fill the pitcher with water (don't attach it to the base), set it in the sink, and let it sit for a minute or two. If water drips out, you've found your problem and the gasket is off the hook.
If the pitcher holds water fine on its own, then yeah, double-check that it's seating all the way - twist it on the base until it clicks or stops turning, whichever comes first. Sometimes they shift during blending if you're going hard with hot soup. The threads can also wear out over time, especially if you've been screwing it on and off a lot. If everything looks seated properly and the pitcher's dry, then grab a replacement gasket kit. They're like fifteen bucks and take two minutes to swap.
One thing nobody mentioned: if you just started blending hotter stuff (like soups), the thermal shock can sometimes open up tiny stress fractures that were already forming. Eight months isn't crazy long for a Ninja, so if it's just the gasket or seating, you're golden. But if it's the pitcher cracked, replacement jugs run around forty to sixty depending on your model, so worth figuring out before you spend more than the blender's worth keeping it alive.