The feedback loop is genuinely nasty because drought weakens vegetation, which lets wind and water erosion strip away topsoil faster, and that bare ground reflects more heat back into the atmosphere - which then suppresses rainfall further. Once you lose that vegetation cover, the desert expands regardless of what caused the initial dry spell, so even if rains return, it takes years of protection (fencing off degraded areas, planting trees, reducing livestock pressure) before the land recovers enough to stabilize on its own. The human side matters enormously: overstocking pasturelands and poor agricultural practices accelerate the process during dry periods, but some of the southward creep you're seeing is also just natural climate oscillation playing out over decades - the Sahel has always been a boundary zone that shifts.